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Shell Scenarios

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We have been developing possible visions of the future since the 1970s, helping generations of Shell leaders explore ways forward and make better decisions. ShellScenarios Wehavebeendevelopingpossiblevisionsofthefuturesincethe1970s,helpinggenerationsofShellleadersexplorewaysforwardandmakebetterdecisions. ShellScenariosask“whatif?”questionsencouragingleaderstoconsidereventsthatmayonlyberemotepossibilities,andstretchtheirthinking.Ourscenariosalsohelpgovernments,academiaandbusinessinunderstandingpossibilitiesanduncertaintiesahead. Inthissection New:EnergyTransformationScenarios Explorethreenewscenariosthatconsidertheconsequencesofnear-termchoices,includingimplicationsforthepaceofenergytransitionsandtheimpactonclimate. Rethinkingthe2020s COVID-19ischangingtheworldinsignificantways.TheShellScenariosteamhasexploredthepotentialimpactofthecrisis. WhatareShellScenarios? Shellhasbeenapioneerindevelopingscenariostoexplorethefutureanddeepenitsstrategicthinkingforalmost50years.  Skyscenario TheSkyscenarioillustratesatechnicallypossible,butchallengingpathwayforsocietytoachievethegoalsoftheParisAgreement. ABetterLifewithaHealthyPlanet Howcouldtheworldmeetfutureenergydemandwhilereducingnetcarbonemissionstozero? ScenarioSketches Weturninsightsabouthowtheworldischanging–politically,economically,technologicallyandsocially–into‘sketches’tohelpusthinkaboutthefuture. MeettheShellScenariosteam TheShellScenariosteambringstogetherexpertsfromanarrayofdisciplinestounderstandversionsofthefuture. Earlierscenarios ShellScenariossincethe1970shavehelpedusunderstandhowtheworldanditsenergysystemcouldevolveindecadestocome. ShellScenariosenergymodels Twoofthekeylong-termmodelsoftheworld’senergysystemdevelopedbytheShellScenariosTeam. Couldplantingtreeshelplimitglobalwarming? LargescalereforestationcouldbeakeyleverforsocietytoattainthestretchedgoaloftheParisAgreement.This,aswellasothercriticalquestionsaboutatechnicallypossiblepathwaytogettonet-zeroemissionsareexploredintheSkyscenario. Watchthisvideotolearnmore Skyinteractivedatatool ExplorethedataandtimelineoftheglobalenergytransitionoutlinedbyourSkyscenario. Clickheretoaccessthetool Tacklingtransportemissions ShellworkedwiththeNewYorkTimestoillustratehowcleanertransportationfitsintoShell’sSkyScenario–achallenging,possiblepathwayfortheworldtomeettheaimsoftheParisAgreement. Explore‘MovingForward’,in3-Dandaugmentedreality Energyresourcesarespreadacrosstheplanet TheGlobalEnergyResourcedatabaseisourtoolforexploringtheworld’sfossilandrenewableenergyresources.Doyouknowhowenergyresourcesaredistributedaroundtheworld? Takethisshortquiztofindout Peacefulstreetsorbuzzingblocks? HouseorHigh-rise? TaketheFutureCitiesquizandmatchyourselftoaglobalcity! TaketheFutureCitiesquiz Previous Next 0 FeaturedContent WorldEnergyModel FindouthowtheWorldEnergyModelcanexploredifferentplausiblefutureenergyscenariosallthewaytotheyear2100. GlobalSupplyModel FindouthowtheScenariosteamexploresfutureoilandgasproductionpotentialto2100. NewLensesonFutureCities Weanalysedsixcityarchetypestobetterunderstandthechangingworldandcreatedscenariosforhowindividualcitiesmightevolveandbecomemoreefficient. ShellScenariosinfilm AselectionofshortfilmsintroduceandexplaintheShellScenariosovertheyears,andtheworkofourScenariosteam.

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