Can Pre-Election Protests Influence Voter Behaviour? The ...
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Nilsen, Amalie (2021) Can Pre-Election Protests Influence Voter Behaviour? The Case of Hong Kong's Anti-ELAB Movement. MA thesis, Department of Political ... Home Publications CanPre-ElectionProtestsInfluenceVoterBehaviour?TheCaseofHongKong'sAnti-ELABMovement CanPre-ElectionProtestsInfluenceVoterBehaviour?TheCaseofHongKong'sAnti-ELABMovement MasterThesis Nilsen,Amalie(2021)CanPre-ElectionProtestsInfluenceVoterBehaviour?TheCaseofHongKong'sAnti-ELABMovement.MAthesis,DepartmentofPoliticalScience,UniversityofOslo,Oslo,Norway. Downloadpublication .pdfScholarsofsocialmovementsrecognizethethreatthatoppositionprotestsposetothestabilityofanauthoritarianregime.Extensiveresearchhasbeendoneonhowmassprotestscaninduceregimechange,andinturn,democratization.Weknowlessaboutthemicro-levelprocessesbywhichprotestscaninfluencethevoterbehaviouroftheordinarycitizen.Thisthesisaimstofillthisgap,byusingevidencesfromthe2019socialunrestinHongKong.BycombiningprotestdatafromACLEDandtheAnti-ELABResearchArchive,withapost-electionsurveyfromHongKongElectionStudy,Iexaminehowcitizenswhodidnotvoteforoppositionpartiesinthepreviouselectionrespondtoanti-regimeprotestsandpolicebrutalityintheirneighbourhood.Thefindingsimplythattheeffectsofprotestsandpolicebrutalityaredependentonwhethertherespondentsidentifythemselvesas“Hongkongers”oras“Chinese”.Byusinglogisticregression,Ifindthatoppositionprotestsandpolicebrutalitycanmobilize“Hongkongers”,whopreviouslyabstainedfromvoting,tovoteforoppositionparties.However,italsorefrainsthosewhoidentifythemselvesas“Chinese”fromdoingthesame.Ialsofindthatnonviolentprotestsincreasethelikelihoodthatpreviousregimesupporters,whoidentifythemselvesas“Hongkongers”,willdefecttooppositionparties. Authors AmalieNilsen ResearchAssistantSupervisors HaakonGjerløw SeniorResearcher Anerrorhasoccurred.Thisapplicationmaynolongerresponduntilreloaded. Reload 🗙
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